Papers in International Journals (75)
- Aknouche, A., Scotto, M.G. (2024). A multiplicative thinning-based integer-valued GARCH model. Journal of Time Series Analysis 45, 4-26.
- Martins, A, Scotto, M.G., Weiss, C.H. Gouveia, S. (2023). Space-time integer-valued ARMA modelling for time series of counts. Electronic Journal of Statistics 17, 3472-3511.
- Scotto, M.G., Gouveia, S. (2023). On the extremes of the max-INAR(1) process for time series of counts. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 52, 1136-1154.
- Barbosa, S.M. and Scotto, M.G. (2022). Extreme heat events in the Iberia Peninsula from extreme value mixture modeling of ERA5-Land air temperature. Weather and Climate Extremes 36, 100448.
- Monteiro, M., Pereira, I. and Scotto, M.G. (2021). Bivariate models for time series of counts: a comparison study between PBINAR models and dynamic factor models. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 50, 1873-1887.
- Martins, A., Scotto, M.G., Deus, R., Monteiro, A. and Gouveia, S. (2021). Association between respiratory hospital admissions and air quality in Portugal: a count time series approach. PLoS ONE 16(7), e0253455.
- Santos, C., Pereira, I. and Scotto, M.G. (2021). On the theory of periodic multivariate INAR processes. Statistical Papers 62, 1291-1348.
- Silveira, C., Martins, A., Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G., Miranda, A.I., Monteiro, A. (2021). The role of the atmospheric aerosol in weather forecasts for the Iberian peninsula: investigating the direct effects using WRF-Chem model. Atmosphere 12, 288, 1-15.
- Mamode Khan, N., Bakouch, H., Ashwinee Devi, S., Scotto, M.G. (2021). Insights on the trend of the novel coronavirus 2019 series in some small island developing states: a thinning-based modelling approach. Alexandria Engineering Journal 60, 2535-2550.
- Oliveira, M.A., Scotto, M.G., Barbosa, S.M., Freire de Andrade, C. and Freitas, M.C. (2020). Morphological controls and statistical modelling of boulder transport by extreme storms. Marine Geology 426, 106216 1--16.
- Franzke, C., Barbosa, S., Blender, R., Fredriksen, H.-B., Laepple, T., Lambert, F., Nilsen, T., Rypdal, K., Rypdal, M., Scotto, M.G., Vannitsem, S., Watkins, N., Yang, L. and Yuan, N. (2020). The structure of climate variability across scales. Reviews of Geophysics 58, e2019RG000657 1-44.
- Rocha, D., Gouveia, S., Pinto, C., Scotto, M.G., Tavares J.N., Valadas, M. and Caldeira, L.F. (2019). On the parameters estimation of HIV dynamic models. Revstat - Statistical Journal 17, 209-222.
- Martins, A., Rafael, S., Monteiro, A., Scotto M.G. and Gouveia, S. (2019). Euro-Cordex regional projection models: what kind of agreement for Europe? Mathematical Geosciences 51, 1021-1035.
- Weiss, C.H., Scotto, M.G., Moller, T.A. and Gouveia, S. (2018). The max-BARMA models for counts with bounded support. Statistics & Probability Letters 143, 28-36.
- Gouveia, S., Moller, T.A., Weiss, C.H. and Scotto, M.G. (2018). A full ARMA model for counts with bounded support and its application to rainy-days time series. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 32, 2495–2514.
- Scotto, M.G., Weiss, C.H., Moller, T.A. and Gouveia, S. (2018). The Max-INAR(1) model for count processes. Test 27, 850-870.
- Monteiro, A., Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G., Sorte, S., Gama, C., Gianelle, V. and Alves, C. (2018). Investigating PM10 episodes using Levoglucosan as tracer. Air Quality, Atmosphere and Health 11, 61-68.
- Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G., Weiss, C.H. and Ferreira, P.J.S.G. (2017). Binary autoregressive geometric modelling in a DNA context. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C 66, 253-271.
- Macedo, P., Scotto, M.G. and Silva, E. (2016). Regularization with maximum entropy and quantum electrodynamics: the MERG(E) estimators. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 45, 1143-1257.
- Cruz, A.M.J., Alves, C., Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G., Freitas, M.C. and Wolterbeek, H. (2016). A wavelet-based approach applied to suspended particulate matter time series in Portugal. Air Quality, Atmosphere and Health 9, 847-859 .
- Moller, T.A., Silva, M.E., Weiss, C.H., Scotto, M.G. and Pereira, I. (2016). Self-exciting threshold binomial autoregressive processes. AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis 100, 369-400.
- Monteiro, A., Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G., Lopes, J., Gamma, C., Feliciano, M. and Miranda, A.I. (2016). Investigating ozone episodes in Portugal: a wavelet-based approach. Air Quality, Atmosphere and Health 9, 775-783.
- Barbosa, S.M. Gouveia, S., Scotto, M.G. and Alonso, A.M. (2016). Wavelet-based clustering of sea level records. Mathematical Geosciences 48, 149-162.
- Gouveia, S. Scotto, M.G., Pinna, G.D. Maestri, R., La Rovere, M.T. and Ferreira, P.J.S.G. (2015). Spontaneous baroreflex sensitivity for risk stratification of heart failure patients: optimal cutoff and age effects. Clinical Science 129, 1163-1172.
- Gouveia, S. Scotto, M.G., Monteiro, A and Alonso, A. (2015). Wavelets-based clustering of air quality monitoring sites. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 187, 694, 1-14.
- Scotto, M.G. Weiss, C.H. and Gouveia, S. (2015). Thinning-based models in the analysis of integer-valued time series: a review. Statistical Modelling 15, 590-618.
- Macedo, P. and Scotto, M.G. (2014). Cross-entropy estimation in technical efficiency analysis. Journal of Mathematical Economics 54, 124-130.
- Ribeiro, A., Barbosa, S.M., Scotto, M.G. and Donner, R.V. (2014). Changes in extreme sea-levels in the Baltic sea. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 66, 20921.
- Scotto, M.G., Weiss, C.H., Silva, M.E. and Pereira, I. (2014). Bivariate binomial autoregressive models. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 125, 233-251.
- Macedo, P., Silva. E. and Scotto, M.G. (2014). Technical efficiency with state-contingent production frontiers using maximum entropy estimators. Journal of Productivity Analysis 41, 131-140.
- Scotto, M.G., Gouveia, S., Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Martins, V., Flannigan, M., San Miguel-Ayanz, J., Miranda, A.I. and Borrego, C. (2014). Area burned in Portugal over recent decades: an extreme value analysis. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23, 812-824.
- Alonso, A.M., de Zea Bermúdez, P. and Scotto, M.G. (2014). Comparing Generalized Pareto models fitted to extreme observations: an application to the largest temperatures in Spain. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 28, 1221-1233.
- Scotto, M.G., Barbosa, S.M. and Alonso, A.M. (2013). Extreme-based clustering of environmental time series. Boletín de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 29, 92-102.
- Almeida, V., de Carvalho, M., Scotto, M.G., Pinto, S., Pinto, A., Ohana, B. and Swash, M. (2013). Primary lateral sclerosis: predicting functional outcome. Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Degeneration 14, 141-145.
- Barczy, M., Ispány, M., Pap, G., Scotto, M.G. and Silva, M.E. (2012). Additive outliers in INAR(1) models. Statistical Papers 53, 935-949.
- Monteiro, A., Carvalho, A., Ribeiro, I., Scotto, M.G., Barbosa, S., Alonso, A., Baldasano, J.M., Pay, M.T., Miranda, A.I. and Borrego, C. (2012). Trends in ozone concentrations in the Iberian Peninsula by quantile regression and clustering. Atmospheric Environment 56, 184-193.
- Monteiro, M., Scotto, M.G. and Pereira, I. (2012). Integer-valued self-exciting threshold autoregressive processes, Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 41, 2717-2737.
- Scotto, M.G., Barbosa, S.M. and Alonso, A.M. (2011). Extreme value and cluster analysis of European daily temperature series. Journal of Applied Statistics 38, 2793-2804.
- Barbosa, S.M., Scotto, M.G. and Alonso, A.M. (2011). Summarising changes in air temperature over Europe by quantile regression and clustering. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11, 3227-3233.
- Pegas, P.N., Alves, C.A., Scotto, M.G., Evtyugina, M.G., Pio, C.A. and Freitas, M.C. (2011). Risk factors and prevalence of asthma and rhinitis among primary school children in Lisbon. Portuguese Journal of Pulmonology 17, 109-116.
- Barczy, M., Ispány, M., Pap, G., Scotto, M.G. and Silva, M.E. (2010). Innovational outliers in INAR(1) models. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 39, 3343-3362.
- Macedo, P., Scotto, M.G. and Silva, E. (2010). On the choice of the ridge parameter: a maximum entropy approach. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 39, 1628-1638.
- Hall, A., Scotto, M.G. and Cruz, J. (2010). Extremes of integer-valued moving average sequences. Test 19, 359-374.
- Costa, C., Scotto, M.G. and Pereira, I. (2010). Optimal alarm systems for FIAPARCH processes. Revstat - Statistical Journal 8, 37-55.
- Scotto, M.G., Alonso, A.M. and Barbosa, S.M. (2010). Clustering time series of sea levels: extreme value approach. Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering 136, 215-225.
- Macedo, P., Scotto, M.G. and Silva, E. (2010). A general class of estimators for the linear regression model affected by collinearity and outliers. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 39, 981-993.
- Alves, C.A., Scotto, M.G. and Freitas, M.C. (2010). Air pollution and emergency admissions for cardiorespiratory diseases in Lisbon (Portugal). Química Nova 33, 337-344.
- Monteiro, M., Scotto, M.G. and Pereira, I. (2010). Integer-valued autoregressive processes with periodic structure. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 140, 1529-1541.
- Scotto, M.G., Barbosa, S.M. and Alonso, A.M. (2009). Model-based clustering of Baltic sea-level. Applied Ocean Research 31, 4-11.
- Monteiro, M., Pereira, I. and Scotto, M.G. (2008). Optimal alarm systems for count processes. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 37, 3054-3076.
- Conceição, I.M., Castro, J.F., Scotto, M.G. and de Carvalho, M. (2008). Neurophysiological markers in familial Amyloid polyneuropathy patients: early changes. Clinical Neurophysiology 119, 1082-1087.
- Hall, A. and Scotto, M.G. (2008). On the extremes of randomly sub-sampled time series. Revstat - Statistical Journal 6, 151-164.
- Scotto, M.G. and Guedes Soares, C. (2007). Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height. Coastal Engineering 54, 393-400.
- Scotto, M.G. (2007). On the extremes of a class of non-linear processes with heavy tailed innovations. Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods & Applications 67, 2012-2023.
- de Carvalho, M., Scotto, M.G. and Swash, M. (2007). Clinical patterns in progressive muscular atrophy (PMA): a prospective study. Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis 8, 296-299.
- Scotto, M.G. (2007). Extremes for solutions to stochastic difference equations with regularly varying tails. Revstat - Statistical Journal 5, 229-247.
- Pereira, I. and Scotto, M.G. (2006). On the non-negative first-order exponential bilinear time series model. Statistics & Probability Letters 76, 931-938.
- Hall, A. and Scotto, M.G. (2006). Extremes of periodic integer-valued sequences with exponential type tails. Revstat - Statistical Journal 4, 249-273.
- Tobías, A. and Scotto, M.G. (2005). Prediction of extreme ozone levels in Barcelona, Spain. Environmental Monitoring & Assessment 100, 23-32.
- de Carvalho, M., Scotto, M.G., Lopes, A. and Swash, M. (2005). Quantitating progression in ALS. Neurology 64, 1783-1785.
- Scotto, M.G. (2005). Extremes of a class of deterministic sub-sampled processes with applications to stochastic difference equations. Stochastic Processes and their Applications 115, 417-434.
- Scotto, M.G. and Turkman, K.F. (2005). Extremes of Volterra series expansions with heavy-tailed innovations. Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods & Applications 63, 106-122.
- Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G. (2004). Application of the r-largest order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave height. Coastal Engineering 51, 387-394.
- Hall, A., Scotto, M.G. and Ferreira, H. (2004). On the extremal behaviour of generalised periodic sub-sampled moving average models with regularly varying tails. Extremes 7, 149-160.
- de Carvalho, M., Scotto, M.G., Lopes, A. and Swash, M. (2003). Clinical and neurophysiological evaluation of the clinical progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Muscle & Nerve 28, 630-633.
- Hall, A. and Scotto, M.G. (2003). Extremes of sub-sampled integer-valued moving average models with heavy-tailed innovations. Statistics & Probability Letters 63, 97-105.
- Scotto, M.G., Turkman, K.F. and Anderson, C.W. (2003). Extremes of some sub-sampled time series. Journal of Time Series Analysis 24, 579-590.
- Scotto, M.G. (2003). A note on the asymptotic distribution of the maxima in disaggregated time series models. Statistics & Probability Letters 65, 127-137.
- Scotto, M.G. and Ferreira, H. (2003). Extremes of deterministic sub-sampled moving averages with heavy-tailed innovations. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry 19, 303-313.
- de Carvalho, M., Scotto, M.G., Lopes, A. and Swash, M. (2002). F-waves and the corticospinal lesion in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis 3, 131-136.
- Scotto, M.G. and Turkman, K.F. (2002). On the extremal behavior of sub-sampled solutions of stochastic difference equations. Portugaliae Mathematica 59, 267-283.
- Ferreira, H. and Scotto, M.G. (2002). On the asymptotic location of high values of a stationary sequence. Statistics & Probability Letters 60, 475-482.
- de Carvalho, M., Lopes, A., Scotto, M.G. and Swash, M. (2001). Reproducibility of neurophysiological and myometric measurement in the ulnar nerve-abductor digiti minimi system. Muscle & Nerve 24, 1391-1395.
- Guedes Soares, C. and Scotto, M.G. (2001). Modelling uncertainty in long-term predictions of significant wave height. Ocean Engineering 28, 329-342.
- Scotto, M.G. and Guedes Soares, C. (2000). Modelling the long-term time series of significant wave height with non-linear threshold models. Coastal Engineering 40, 313-327.
My list of publications (SCOPUS)